Here's a wild guess, expressed in terms of probability distribution of rate of return -- for very good names:
In one year:
10% chance = 100% loss (.INFO fizzles)
20% chance = no change
30% chance = 25% gain
20% chance = 50% gain
20% chance = 100% gain (doubles in value)
In two years:
10% chance = 100% loss (.INFO fizzles)
10% chance = no change
20% chance = 50% gain
30% chance = 100% gain (doubles in value)
30% chance = 200% gain (triples in value)






Reply With Quote





Bookmarks