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probably needs a official written statement by both registrars on the status of the stolen domain claim..
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Registrar statements on stolen names are primarily directed to eliminating registrar liability. If an admin contact email address is compromised, stale, or whatever, registrars will typically rely on communications from that email address as authoritative for the limited purpose of providing a registrar statement to the effect that a transfer was authorized.
I have just returned from the ICANN meeting, and have not had time to review this interesting thread. But I hope to get around to taking a look at this later today. If someone has summarized the situation from a neutral point of view, please feel free to send me a pointer.