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Domainers' worst fears..

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DomainMagnate

Domain Magnate™
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What do you think can cause the domain prices to stop going up and slow down the market?

What is your biggest fear about the market's future?
 
I think solid TLDs like .com/net and ccTLDs like .co.uk still have great future growth potential. The fear is perhaps in the dilution of the market with other crazy extensions, but I think domainers are getting wise to those. Put it this way, I'm not queuing up for .asia.
 
How about that people starting to use search engines more and less type in traffic, or even browsers redirecting the direct navigation to search engine queries, also the extremely high growth of prices for premium .com's, don't you worry about that?
 
-It's probably not possible, but if backorder/drop catchers decided not to hold auctions anymore, meaning they would be competing to pick up deleting domains for themselves, and only themselves to directly resell to high-end market companies.

-The price of registering domains inflates to a very high price.
 
a global recession could slow the market a bit, but people love going online and it's one of the last things they'll give up. so in a recession a company would still have to focus on it's online strategy and companies would still need domains. people might travel less or eat out less to cut back, but they'll still be going online and surfing the net, and that's how companies will reach them.

also consider that many countries still don't have high internet penetration like US, Canada, England, Germany, etc. there are still a lot of people coming online. look at Brazil, China, Russia, etc.

if a new system was found to make domains less relevant, that could bring down the market, but so far there's no sign of that. domains are needed for the web like phone numbers for the telephone.

also, if advertising money stopped moving online (away from traditional media) that would slow things - advertising money is what's driving the whole market and all indications are that money will keep increasing.

As long as the internet stays popular and companies want to advertise online, domain values will hold well. There is still so much more to come in ways to make money from domains, it's exciting!
 
I'm big on .coms. I think the more frivilous extensions they make, they more important the .coms become.
 
the only way LLL's will drop in price is if we invent some more letters for our alphabet.

I am not a big fan of Google's "Did you mean...?"
 
What if Verisign took over the default redirect again? Much like .cm does.
 
Verisign getting to choose their price to renew domain names....this would put the average domainer out of business.
 
My worst fear has already been realized...getting in way too damn late. Having to pay large sums of money for names worth 1/10th compared to what the big guys own AND got for reg fee via their drop scripts back in day :(


And yes, that would suck indeed onward but i they wouldn't be able to do that without a legal fight.
 
A technological change that makes typing in domains obsolete would pretty much kill the market. The question is what could make that happen....
 
A technological change that makes typing in domains obsolete would pretty much kill the market. The question is what could make that happen....

That's exactly what I'm afraid of and I can see that happen easily:
1. Growing popularity of search engines, google.
2. People are getting more web savvy.
3. New browsers redirect type-ins to search engines and all have the search area besides just the address area.


all are just assumptions basicly, I don't see any bad things happening to the industry in the next couple years :)
 
If you have good generic domains I don't think type-in is going to disappear. If you type sex.com in your URL bar for example I don't see why the browser would divert you elsewhere as long as the URL is correct.
 
If you have good generic domains I don't think type-in is going to disappear. If you type sex.com in your URL bar for example I don't see why the browser would divert you elsewhere as long as the URL is correct.

Suppose that's right, at least for the near future.
Although the browsers can for example displace the address bar, or turn it off as the default in browsers.. which can decrease the type in traffic significantly.
But the worse scenario and more possible is the growing popularity of search engines.
 
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