DryHeat said:
Yes, .US is not doing well and the outlook for it looks quite bleak....so this is what .US holders need to do....drop all of your names however you can, then get your retirement savings out, get a second mortgage, or whatever else it takes to get some hard cold cash and invest in IDNs of local/regional Indian and Chinese languages....:laugh:
You see, I am literally a shrink and even I seldom come across this type of schizophrenic logic where you find blatant denial of reality (of .US having pretty decent prospects) on one hand, and the grandiose delusion of something non-existent not only becoming reality but being a huge success (IDNs) on the other......I realize its a strong and exaggerated analogy but at times thats exactly what is needed to make a point...and I am sure that most reasonable minded folks would understand what I'm trying to point out here!
very well put!
I didnt want to really participate here as I know Dave's obsession with Chinese IDNs, and, that there is no way to change his mind. Of course, no one should *have* to change their minds, but when statements are made about what might happen vs. what is happening (not only is .us happening, but so is .info which Dave also has launched a crusade against), then things get messy.
Heck, even .in is way ahead of .cn, and probably will always be (not to mention .us and .info).
reasoning: geopolotical and socioeconomical conditions.
China is still a dictatorship that heavily censors the internet.
I as an investor would NOT place serious money in such a market.
here is the catch. Were China to become a democracy (unlikely), or stop its censorship (unlikely), then there no longer will be 1 China (because China is made up of hundreds, if not thousands of provinces that are very independent thinking). that brings us back to the fact that this ccTLD is not a safe investment. it is not a bad investment to resell to fellow investors perhaps, but to end users, you need to be really really lucky.
Next reason: China is much much poorer than other countries. it is also way behind in the IT sector than India, the US (and of course a no competitor to gTLD like info etc...)
.us on the other hand is already established, and still has way to go in a free country that doesnt have the economical hurdles of China (nor the social ones).
with the thinking of the .cn IDNers, .cn might one day even compete with .DE etc... this is a dream. *IF* .cn ever takes off, the market will be very different, people are not going to pay as much for keywords, and the only way to make money in such a market is to wait very very long. So, If you want to wait 10-20 years for .cn to take off, go ahead and say it *might* compete with .us, on the other hand if you want to make money in a safe for investors environment, invest in .us (or info or biz) and wait a couple of years.
My opinion of course is just that, an opinion based on my experience. I am not putting down Dave's opinion, he has the right to have it, I just disagree with it as a domain investor.
and of course it is a no brainer that .com is way up there, and as much as .com is the giant in the industry and it towers over .us, so does .us tower over .cn and IDNs