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Domain Discussion
General Domain Name Discussion
.Com - The Harsh Reality
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<blockquote data-quote="lifesavings.online" data-source="post: 2306892" data-attributes="member: 322970938"><p>Also prudent to consider the volume. One might argue there is a higher volume of lower sales which skews the data.</p><p></p><p>Last week = 102,492</p><p>Last month = 107,892</p><p>Last year = 97,000</p><p>Last 2 yrs = 87,250</p><p>Last 3 yrs = 80,889</p><p>Last 5 yrs = 76,480</p><p></p><p>"All-time" won't be very telling because data goes back 20+ years. Some of the earliest years only have a handful of domains listed.</p><p></p><p>So the volume of sales has been on a steady increase. Let's look at the extremes:</p><p></p><p>VOLUME</p><p>107,892 recorded sales last month.</p><p>76,480 recorded sales last 5 yrs.</p><p>-</p><p> ~41% increase.</p><p></p><p>VALUE</p><p>$822 Last month</p><p>$1,375 Past 5 yrs.</p><p>-</p><p>~40% decrease.</p><p></p><p>I don't feel like explaining ALL the implications. It's not cut-and-dry. I do suggest much of the increasing volume is due to aftermarket platform domainer-to-domainer sales (as promoted by all the 'pro' domainers). It's fair to assume most of those sales are in the low xxx. It does skew the perception of 'value average'.</p><p></p><p>I feel there has been a domainer aftermarket boom during the last 5 years. Without the domainer aftermarket sales, the volume would actually be FALLING.</p><p></p><p>It's fine to be a domainer with stagnant prices. The profits don't necessarily come from a rising price, as a stock would. You can buy high and sell low on a case-by-case basis and the big picture doesn't mean anything. If you think .com is 'growing' in value and end-user adoption though, I do insist you are wrong.</p><p></p><p>In other words, aside from value, the amount of end-user sales is perhaps more important for 'keen' domainers. Again, it's important to ask yourself, how many sales are end-user sales vs. domainer sales. You could have a 'false sense'.</p><p></p><p>With the ccTLD and nTLD headwinds, I do expect this volume to fall too, fast - starting now. All that's left is to wait and see. 1-2 years will yield the evidence. Face it, when the end-users dry up, so does the artificial liquidity, this volume, which aftermarket domainers provide. Don't recommend holding the bag.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="lifesavings.online, post: 2306892, member: 322970938"] Also prudent to consider the volume. One might argue there is a higher volume of lower sales which skews the data. Last week = 102,492 Last month = 107,892 Last year = 97,000 Last 2 yrs = 87,250 Last 3 yrs = 80,889 Last 5 yrs = 76,480 "All-time" won't be very telling because data goes back 20+ years. Some of the earliest years only have a handful of domains listed. So the volume of sales has been on a steady increase. Let's look at the extremes: VOLUME 107,892 recorded sales last month. 76,480 recorded sales last 5 yrs. - ~41% increase. VALUE $822 Last month $1,375 Past 5 yrs. - ~40% decrease. I don't feel like explaining ALL the implications. It's not cut-and-dry. I do suggest much of the increasing volume is due to aftermarket platform domainer-to-domainer sales (as promoted by all the 'pro' domainers). It's fair to assume most of those sales are in the low xxx. It does skew the perception of 'value average'. I feel there has been a domainer aftermarket boom during the last 5 years. Without the domainer aftermarket sales, the volume would actually be FALLING. It's fine to be a domainer with stagnant prices. The profits don't necessarily come from a rising price, as a stock would. You can buy high and sell low on a case-by-case basis and the big picture doesn't mean anything. If you think .com is 'growing' in value and end-user adoption though, I do insist you are wrong. In other words, aside from value, the amount of end-user sales is perhaps more important for 'keen' domainers. Again, it's important to ask yourself, how many sales are end-user sales vs. domainer sales. You could have a 'false sense'. With the ccTLD and nTLD headwinds, I do expect this volume to fall too, fast - starting now. All that's left is to wait and see. 1-2 years will yield the evidence. Face it, when the end-users dry up, so does the artificial liquidity, this volume, which aftermarket domainers provide. Don't recommend holding the bag. [/QUOTE]
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