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THE GREAT DEPRESSION 2 and its effect on the domain name market

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lordbyroniv

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Guess you were wrong about that.

A fresh record high of $1921 was the top before the Central banks started banging her down. No doubt, I was wrong, but I was close. And this run aint over by a long shot. Have any of you domainers figured out how screwed we are ?

Here's a hint --->> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-european-financial-crisis-one-graphic-dominoes-debt

---------- Post added at 06:14 PM ---------- Previous post was at 06:12 PM ----------

Don't look to Europe for any easing of the crisis. The general mood here is apathetic.

We need more people like Nigel Farage in the European parliament telling these bureacrats what mad men they are. They are on a collision course with destiny. Herman Van Rompuy should be thrown in prison for what he is doing.
 

lordbyroniv

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The end game is getting close

[video=youtube;Zvl9N9GdraQ]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zvl9N9GdraQ&feature=player_embedded[/video]
 

Mark Talbot

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Getting back on-topic,... :faint:


DNJ is pretty good at reporting sales for select venues reporting,..

And you can watch the IDNX for commodity trends.

Or you can watch marketwatch or the DJI or even the gold index.

But they dont all tell the whole story.

DNJ shows that big money gets spent somehow on somenames.

The IDNX translates into a dynamic trendline, which is kinda useful even though without benchmark holdings.

The markets and gold reflect wide scope capitol shift worldwide and very sentimental.

So in retrospect, what does this mean to us. The domain market.

What we have witnessed and likely experienced is several trends.

An obvious loss in the reseller marketplace as endusers tighten belts.
Premium name consolidations reflected in multi-$x purchases, either by endusers or bigger buyer clearinghouses for future sales.
A smaller price for enduser purchasers reflecting 1k to 5k purchases.
A larger group of resellers buying within their budget to aquire catalog inventory that may service the eventual return of mid to small biz end user return purchases.
The complete obliteration of slighty to seriously less-quality names being absorbed by end users, with the brunt being dropped or absorbed into noob-late entry domainer hopefuls catalogs.

What I am seeing, by date of this post, since January, is great names in lesser demands, but still commanding good numbers when the right buyer stepps in; ALOT more flipping to domainers, lamely propping up numbers on "pretty-good" names (at least half of what is reported on DNJ; a significant but steady growth on decent quality coms and geo coms to mid and small biz, albiet for a deflated 1k to 5k range; and countless 1 to 100 dollar domains that just a few scarce years ago may have tagged 1k to 5k.

This is 'industry' or 'market' consolidation. No if and or butts.

What I suspect will happen shortly, over a few months, is the market for domains will define itself.
Top names will be king, still and of course.
The good keyword coms and geo coms, as well as brandables, will sag for many months, but continue to pick up after the market begins to absorb available properties. (fast drying up but still too much glut atm)
The trash, yes everything else,.... will end up in the drop-bucket dumpsters finally, but rarely reserected by the occasional hopeful purchase soon to be dropped.

The market is tightening up for resellers, and there is only soo long before the 95% domainers, quit being dupped by the 1% sales pitch. (not a political statement, just an investment statement)

m2c
 
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Traveltext

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Sounds like a reasonable analysis of the situation and one that is well worth considering by domain name investors.
 
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lordbyroniv

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Getting back on-topic,... :faint:


DNJ is pretty good at reporting sales for select venues reporting,..

And you can watch the IDNX for commodity trends.

Or you can watch marketwatch or the DJI or even the gold index.

But they dont all tell the whole story.

DNJ shows that big money gets spent somehow on somenames.

The IDNX translates into a dynamic trendline, which is kinda useful even though without benchmark holdings.

The markets and gold reflect wide scope capitol shift worldwide and very sentimental.

So in retrospect, what does this mean to us. The domain market.

What we have witnessed and likely experienced is several trends.

An obvious loss in the reseller marketplace as endusers tighten belts.
Premium name consolidations reflected in multi-$x purchases, either by endusers or bigger buyer clearinghouses for future sales.
A smaller price for enduser purchasers reflecting 1k to 5k purchases.
A larger group of resellers buying within their budget to aquire catalog inventory that may service the eventual return of mid to small biz end user return purchases.
The complete obliteration of slighty to seriously less-quality names being absorbed by end users, with the brunt being dropped or absorbed into noob-late entry domainer hopefuls catalogs.

What I am seeing, by date of this post, since January, is great names in lesser demands, but still commanding good numbers when the right buyer stepps in; ALOT more flipping to domainers, lamely propping up numbers on "pretty-good" names (at least half of what is reported on DNJ; a significant but steady growth on decent quality coms and geo coms to mid and small biz, albiet for a deflated 1k to 5k range; and countless 1 to 100 dollar domains that just a few scarce years ago may have tagged 1k to 5k.

This is 'industry' or 'market' consolidation. No if and or butts.

What I suspect will happen shortly, over a few months, is the market for domains will define itself.
Top names will be king, still and of course.
The good keyword coms and geo coms, as well as brandables, will sag for many months, but continue to pick up after the market begins to absorb available properties. (fast drying up but still too much glut atm)
The trash, yes everything else,.... will end up in the drop-bucket dumpsters finally, but rarely reserected by the occasional hopeful purchase soon to be dropped.

The market is tightening up for resellers, and there is only soo long before the 95% domainers, quit being dupped by the 1% sales pitch. (not a political statement, just an investment statement)

m2c

Excellent Contribution !!!! Still absorbing your post.
 

lordbyroniv

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Don't look to Europe for any easing of the crisis. The general mood here is apathetic.

Bank runs have begun

The elite are gonna try to tie the mass of europe under a single yoke

Cash is king until Gold rules the day

A whiff of deflation is very inflationary

All hands on Deck !
 

DC20

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Encouraging that someone else here reads it. The single source one needs at this point in time. Watch out below......
 

Mark Talbot

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Fear is the absolute best salesman of Gold.

Find someone with some spare cash,
add in a pinch of ignorance,
pour in a good blend of natural fear,
stir vigorously until fully mixed up,

And bake @1700/oz until the green bubbles to the top.


Pull from oven when lightly browned and a nice tasty cash pie after cooling.

Serve with ice cream if desired.
 
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Mark Talbot

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Or better yer yet,.. here's one for ya...


Buy domains,... they are one of a kind!
They dont make any two alike!!
 
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